P
Current to Round 21, today
SYD
Nat Butcher
Sydney Roosters · @ NQL
118.5 RMO —U —
Hit rate
47% (8/17)
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Avg
118.3
L5
112.0
L10
123.2
High
197
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
65WARMar 0664SOUMar 1338PENMar 20197MANMar 26151CROApr 11147NEWApr 19117SGIApr 25175BRIMay 02160GLDMay 08129NQLMay 16106MELMay 30☂102CBRJun 05134DOLJun 1289CROJun 21125BRIJun 26104MELJul 17108NEWJul 24?NQLJul 30118.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.8°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Nat118.3
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Nat0.9
NQL36.2
Tackles
Nat32.4
NQL338.9
Tries
Nat0.1
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Nat0.1
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Nat0.1
NQL5.8
Offloads
Nat0.2
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Nat44.1
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Run Metres

1759.5per game · league avg 1690.5
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Run Metres

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium85.0(2)-3.5
Everywhere else88.5(110)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Run Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)63.0(8)-27.4
Dry games90.4(104)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.