P
Current to Round 21, today
SYD
Nat Butcher
Sydney Roosters · @ NQL
44.5 PCMO U
Hit rate
59% (10/17)
enter odds to compare
Avg
44.1
L5
46.6
L10
49.4
High
64
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
17WARMar 0616SOUMar 1311PENMar 2058MANMar 2655CROApr 1155NEWApr 1943SGIApr 2564BRIMay 0257GLDMay 0850NQLMay 1651MELMay 3039CBRJun 0559DOLJun 1239CROJun 2155BRIJun 2647MELJul 1733NEWJul 24?NQLJul 3044.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:5019.7°C0mm (0%)🌬 15.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Nat118.3
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Nat0.9
NQL36.2
Tackles
Nat32.4
NQL338.9
Tries
Nat0.1
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Nat0.1
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Nat0.1
NQL5.8
Offloads
Nat0.2
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Nat44.1
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Post Contact Metres

610.3per game · league avg 545.7
#1 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Post Contact Metres

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium35.5(2)+2.6
Everywhere else32.9(110)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)24.6(8)-8.9
Dry games33.5(104)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.