P
Current to Round 21, today
SYD
Nat Butcher
Sydney Roosters · @ MEL
32.5 TKO U
Hit rate
41% (7/17)
enter odds to compare
Avg
32.4
L5
44.2
L10
35.3
High
57
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
57WARMar 0625SOUMar 1321PENMar 2022MANMar 2623CROApr 1132NEWApr 1918SGIApr 2528BRIMay 0223GLDMay 0835NQLMay 1629MELMay 3017CBRJun 0539DOLJun 1244CROJun 2142BRIJun 2651MELJul 1745NEWJul 24?MELJul 3132.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:007.2°C0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Nat118.3
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Nat0.9
MEL33.0
Tackles
Nat32.4
MEL338.8
Tries
Nat0.1
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Nat0.1
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Nat0.1
MEL6.3
Offloads
Nat0.2
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Nat44.1
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Tackles

338.8per game · league avg 345.6
#14 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At AAMI Park33.1(7)-2.9
Everywhere else36.0(105)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)44.0(8)+8.8
Dry games35.2(104)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.