Bailey Macdonald
Hawthorn · vs ESS
7.5 HBO —U —
Hit rate
63% (5/8)
enter odds to compare
Avg
7.9
L5
6.8
L10
7.9
High
12
Line Over Under
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Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly13.3Disposals398.8
5.4Kicks232.6
2.8Marks116.9
3.0Tackles50.5
0.4Clearances33.3
1.4Inside 50s55.1
4.1Contested poss.121.4
0.0Goals15.0
Disposals
Bailey13.3
ESS398.8
Kicks
Bailey5.4
ESS232.6
Marks
Bailey2.8
ESS116.9
Tackles
Bailey3.0
ESS50.5
Clearances
Bailey0.4
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Bailey1.4
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Bailey4.1
ESS121.4
Goals
Bailey0.0
ESS15.0
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
ESS concede · Handballs
166.2per game · league avg 155.5
#2 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Handballs
At M.C.G.6.3(7)+1.3
Everywhere else5.0(7)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Handballs
Wet games (≥1mm)4.5(2)-1.3
Dry games5.8(12)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.