Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

MEL

Moses Leo

Melbourne Storm · @ WST

12.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

58% (7/12)

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Avg

12.1

12.0

L10

12.3

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ WST

Game conditionsCommBank Stadium · SydneyRound 22 · 2026-08-02 16:05☁ 17.9°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Mosesvs all playersStatWST concedePer game

138.6Run Metres1749.4

4.1Tackle Breaks33.3

6.8Tackles339.1

0.7Tries5.3

0.0Try Assists4.6

1.0Line Breaks6.6

0.3Offloads9.1

37.1Post Contact Metres528.1

Run Metres

Moses138.6

WST1749.4

Tackle Breaks

Moses4.1

WST33.3

Tackles

Moses6.8

WST339.1

Tries

Moses0.7

WST5.3

Try Assists

Moses0.0

WST4.6

Line Breaks

Moses1.0

WST6.6

Offloads

Moses0.3

WST9.1

Post Contact Metres

Moses37.1

WST528.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WST concede · Runs

186.1per game · league avg 186.4

#8 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Runs

At CommBank Stadium—(0)

Everywhere else11.6(14)

Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)13.0(1)+1.5

Dry games11.5(13)

Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.