P
Current to Round 21, today
MEL
Moses Leo
Melbourne Storm · @ NQL
4.5 TBO —U —
Hit rate
42% (5/12)
enter odds to compare
Avg
4.1
L5
3.8
L10
4.0
High
9
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
6PARMar 053SGIMar 142BRIMar 200NQLMar 283WARApr 117PARMay 169CBYMay 222SYDMay 30☂2NEWJun 055CBRJun 211MANJun 279SOUJul 24?NQLJul 304.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.8°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Moses138.6
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Moses4.1
NQL36.2
Tackles
Moses6.8
NQL338.9
Tries
Moses0.7
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Moses0.0
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Moses1.0
NQL5.8
Offloads
Moses0.3
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Moses37.1
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Tackle Breaks

36.2per game · league avg 32.6
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium0.0(1)-4.1
Everywhere else4.1(13)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)2.0(1)-1.9
Dry games3.9(13)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.