Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Jasper Alger

Richmond · vs WCE

0.5 FFO —U —

Hit rate

50% (4/8)

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Avg

0.9

1.0

L10

0.9

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs WCE

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Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 13:10☁ 15.7°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 22.2 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jaspervs all playersStatWCE concedePer game

8.1Disposals371.4

4.1Kicks215.1

2.6Marks96.1

1.5Tackles61.7

0.4Clearances38.9

0.8Inside 50s52.9

3.8Contested Poss.133.7

1.6Goals14.7

Disposals

Jasper8.1

WCE371.4

Kicks

Jasper4.1

WCE215.1

Marks

Jasper2.6

WCE96.1

Tackles

Jasper1.5

WCE61.7

Clearances

Jasper0.4

WCE38.9

Inside 50s

Jasper0.8

WCE52.9

Contested Poss.

Jasper3.8

WCE133.7

Goals

Jasper1.6

WCE14.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WCE concede · Frees For

20.6per game · league avg 19.0

#4 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Frees For

At M.C.G.1.3(7)+1.3

Everywhere else0.0(5)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)0.7(3)-0.1

Dry games0.8(9)

Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.