P
Current to Round 21, today
NQL
Tom Chester
North Queensland Cowboys · vs SYD
3.5 TBO —U —
Hit rate
39% (7/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
3.7
L5
3.2
L10
3.1
High
8
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
5NEWFeb 283WSTMar 142GLDMar 226SGIApr 046BRIApr 108MANApr 164CROApr 242CBYMay 017PARMay 082SYDMay 162SOUMay 242CBRMay 312DOLJun 063WARJun 213PENJun 271MANJul 123DOLJul 196BRIJul 25?SYDJul 303.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 vs SYD
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.7°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 15.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Tom173.3
SYD1543.2
Tackle Breaks
Tom3.7
SYD27.2
Tackles
Tom15.6
SYD351.2
Tries
Tom0.4
SYD3.5
Try Assists
Tom0.1
SYD3.0
Line Breaks
Tom0.9
SYD4.3
Offloads
Tom0.6
SYD9.3
Post Contact Metres
Tom52.7
SYD483.9

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

SYD concede · Tackle Breaks

27.2per game · league avg 32.6
#17 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium2.4(16)-0.5
Everywhere else2.9(18)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)
Dry games2.7(34)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.