Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, yesterday

NQL

Heilum Luki

North Queensland Cowboys · @ BRI

54.5 FPO —U —

Hit rate

58% (11/19)

enter odds to compare

Avg

54.2

48.2

L10

53.1

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 13.8°C☂ 0mm (4%)🌬 6.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Heilumvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

106.0Run Metres1842.7

2.1Tackle Breaks31.7

39.9Tackles323.2

0.4Tries4.3

0.1Try Assists3.2

0.5Line Breaks4.7

0.1Offloads10.1

39.6Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Heilum106.0

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Heilum2.1

BRI31.7

Tackles

Heilum39.9

BRI323.2

Tries

Heilum0.4

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Heilum0.1

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Heilum0.5

BRI4.7

Offloads

Heilum0.1

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Heilum39.6

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Fantasy Points

636.4per game · league avg 645.9

#11 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Fantasy Points

At Suncorp Stadium40.4(10)-0.8

Everywhere else41.2(66)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Fantasy Points

Wet games (≥1mm)37.3(3)-4.0

Dry games41.3(73)

Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.