Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Luke Trainor

Richmond · vs WCE

0.5 FFO —U —

Hit rate

57% (4/7)

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Avg

0.6

L10

0.6

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs WCE

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Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 13:10☁ 16.1°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 19.9 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Lukevs all playersStatWCE concedePer game

15.3Disposals371.4

10.7Kicks215.1

5.1Marks96.1

1.6Tackles61.7

0.3Clearances38.9

1.0Inside 50s52.9

3.0Contested Poss.133.7

0.0Goals14.7

Disposals

Luke15.3

WCE371.4

Kicks

Luke10.7

WCE215.1

Marks

Luke5.1

WCE96.1

Tackles

Luke1.6

WCE61.7

Clearances

Luke0.3

WCE38.9

Inside 50s

Luke1.0

WCE52.9

Contested Poss.

Luke3.0

WCE133.7

Goals

Luke0.0

WCE14.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WCE concede · Frees For

20.6per game · league avg 19.0

#4 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Frees For

At M.C.G.0.9(15)-0.1

Everywhere else0.9(13)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)1.5(4)+0.7

Dry games0.8(24)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.