Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

DOL

Thomas Flegler

Dolphins · @ BRI

8.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

46% (6/13)

enter odds to compare

Avg

8.8

7.6

L10

8.6

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.9°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 6.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Thomasvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

85.8Run Metres1842.7

1.5Tackle Breaks31.7

19.3Tackles323.2

0.1Tries4.3

0.0Try Assists3.2

0.1Line Breaks4.7

0.8Offloads10.1

31.2Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Thomas85.8

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Thomas1.5

BRI31.7

Tackles

Thomas19.3

BRI323.2

Tries

Thomas0.1

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Thomas0.0

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Thomas0.1

BRI4.7

Offloads

Thomas0.8

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Thomas31.2

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Runs

195.2per game · league avg 186.4

#2 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At Suncorp Stadium10.6(44)-0.1

Everywhere else10.6(33)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)11.4(7)+0.9

Dry games10.5(70)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.