Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

DOL

Morgan Knowles

Dolphins · @ PEN

8.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

47% (8/17)

enter odds to compare

Avg

8.2

6.8

L10

8.0

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 22 @ PEN

Game conditionsGlen Willow Oval · MudgeeRound 22 · 2026-08-01 17:30☁ 10°C☂ 0mm (1%)🌬 8.2 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Morganvs all playersStatPEN concedePer game

71.9Run Metres1561.5

0.2Tackle Breaks30.5

34.4Tackles369.6

0.1Tries2.5

0.0Try Assists2.3

0.1Line Breaks3.9

0.2Offloads8.2

25.1Post Contact Metres546.8

Run Metres

Morgan71.9

PEN1561.5

Tackle Breaks

Morgan0.2

PEN30.5

Tackles

Morgan34.4

PEN369.6

Tries

Morgan0.1

PEN2.5

Try Assists

Morgan0.0

PEN2.3

Line Breaks

Morgan0.1

PEN3.9

Offloads

Morgan0.2

PEN8.2

Post Contact Metres

Morgan25.1

PEN546.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

PEN concede · Runs

181.3per game · league avg 186.4

#14 of 17 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Runs

At Glen Willow Oval—(0)

Everywhere else8.2(17)

Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)7.7(3)-0.6

Dry games8.3(14)

Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.