AFL
PProjectPunt
Darcy Fogarty
Darcy Fogarty
Adelaide · vs COL
4.5 MKO U
Hit rate
42% (5/12)
enter odds to compare
Avg
4.8
L5
5.6
L10
4.8
High
9
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
3COLMar 146WBDMar 201GEEMar 267NORMay 164HAWMay 213GEEJun 045WBDJun 119MELJun 204PORJun 277WCEJul 034GCSJul 114SYDJul 17?COLJul 234.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs COL
Game conditionsAdelaide Oval · AdelaideRound 20 · 2026-07-23 19:309.9°C0mm (0%)🌬 9.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Darcy11.8
COL389.3
Kicks
Darcy8.0
COL227.3
Marks
Darcy4.8
COL105.6
Tackles
Darcy2.3
COL48.4
Clearances
Darcy0.3
COL35.6
Inside 50s
Darcy1.7
COL55.2
Contested poss.
Darcy5.6
COL128.0
Goals
Darcy2.1
COL11.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

COL concede · Marks

105.6per game · league avg 93.0
#4 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At Adelaide Oval5.1(34)+0.6
Everywhere else4.4(25)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)5.1(7)+0.4
Dry games4.8(52)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.