Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

BRI

Jock Madden

Brisbane Broncos · @ WST

55.5 RMO —U —

Hit rate

47% (7/15)

enter odds to compare

Avg

55.7

47.8

L10

57.1

High

122

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ WST

Game conditionsCommBank Stadium · SydneyRound 22 · 2026-08-02 16:05☁ 19.5°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 7.7 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jockvs all playersStatWST concedePer game

55.7Run Metres1749.4

0.2Tackle Breaks33.3

15.5Tackles339.1

0.1Tries5.3

0.3Try Assists4.6

0.1Line Breaks6.6

0.0Offloads9.1

4.3Post Contact Metres528.1

Run Metres

Jock55.7

WST1749.4

Tackle Breaks

Jock0.2

WST33.3

Tackles

Jock15.5

WST339.1

Tries

Jock0.1

WST5.3

Try Assists

Jock0.3

WST4.6

Line Breaks

Jock0.1

WST6.6

Offloads

Jock0.0

WST9.1

Post Contact Metres

Jock4.3

WST528.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WST concede · Run Metres

1749.4per game · league avg 1690.5

#6 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Run Metres

At CommBank Stadium46.5(6)-7.3

Everywhere else53.8(45)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Run Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)49.7(3)-3.5

Dry games53.1(48)

Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.