Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

BRI

Jock Madden

Brisbane Broncos · @ NQL

4.5 PTSO —U —

Hit rate

33% (5/15)

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Avg

4.3

4.4

L10

3.2

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL

Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.7°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 15.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jockvs all playersStatNQL concedePer game

55.7Run Metres1759.5

0.2Tackle Breaks36.2

15.5Tackles338.9

0.1Tries4.5

0.3Try Assists3.8

0.1Line Breaks5.8

0.0Offloads10.1

4.3Post Contact Metres610.3

Run Metres

Jock55.7

NQL1759.5

Tackle Breaks

Jock0.2

NQL36.2

Tackles

Jock15.5

NQL338.9

Tries

Jock0.1

NQL4.5

Try Assists

Jock0.3

NQL3.8

Line Breaks

Jock0.1

NQL5.8

Offloads

Jock0.0

NQL10.1

Post Contact Metres

Jock4.3

NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Points

24.7per game · league avg 23.5

#7 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Points

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium0.0(1)-2.1

Everywhere else2.1(50)

Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Points

Wet games (≥1mm)4.0(3)+2.1

Dry games1.9(48)

Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.