Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Jamie Elliott

Collingwood · vs GEE

1.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

45% (5/11)

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Avg

1.5

1.4

L10

1.6

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs GEE

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Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-07-30 19:30☁ 8.7°C☂ 0mm (1%)🌬 2.7 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jamievs all playersStatGEE concedePer game

11.8Disposals377.4

6.6Kicks213.3

3.5Marks82.7

1.5Tackles64.5

0.6Clearances38.8

1.5Inside 50s51.0

3.8Contested Poss.133.8

1.5Goals12.2

Disposals

Jamie11.8

GEE377.4

Kicks

Jamie6.6

GEE213.3

Marks

Jamie3.5

GEE82.7

Tackles

Jamie1.5

GEE64.5

Clearances

Jamie0.6

GEE38.8

Inside 50s

Jamie1.5

GEE51.0

Contested Poss.

Jamie3.8

GEE133.8

Goals

Jamie1.5

GEE12.2

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

GEE concede · Tackles

64.5per game · league avg 56.9

#2 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackles

At M.C.G.2.4(84)-0.6

Everywhere else3.0(57)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)3.6(12)+1.0

Dry games2.5(129)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.