Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Angus Sheldrick

Sydney · @ STK

2.5 MKO —U —

Hit rate

41% (7/17)

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Avg

2.2

2.0

L10

1.8

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ STK

Enter odds and a stake to track this bet. You'll settle it by hand on the bets page — nothing grades itself.

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:05Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Angusvs all playersStatSTK concedePer game

20.3Disposals379.3

9.3Kicks220.4

2.2Marks100.9

3.8Tackles50.0

2.9Clearances34.4

3.6Inside 50s52.1

8.1Contested Poss.123.7

0.2Goals12.4

Disposals

Angus20.3

STK379.3

Kicks

Angus9.3

STK220.4

Marks

Angus2.2

STK100.9

Tackles

Angus3.8

STK50.0

Clearances

Angus2.9

STK34.4

Inside 50s

Angus3.6

STK52.1

Contested Poss.

Angus8.1

STK123.7

Goals

Angus0.2

STK12.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

STK concede · Marks

100.9per game · league avg 93.0

#6 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At Docklands2.3(6)+0.2

Everywhere else2.1(39)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)7.0(1)+5.0

Dry games2.0(44)

Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.