AFL
PProjectPunt
Ned Long
Ned Long
Collingwood · @ ADE
1.5 CLO U
Hit rate
50% (8/16)
enter odds to compare
Avg
1.9
L5
1.8
L10
1.7
High
5
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
2STKMar 082ADEMar 140GWSMar 273BRIApr 022FREApr 104CARApr 165HAWApr 301GEEMay 091SYDMay 150WCEMay 231WBDMay 301PORJun 200RICJun 274GCSJul 041NORJul 103CARJul 18?ADEJul 231.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ ADE
Game conditionsAdelaide Oval · AdelaideRound 20 · 2026-07-23 19:309.9°C0mm (0%)🌬 9.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Ned16.2
ADE356.6
Kicks
Ned6.4
ADE210.2
Marks
Ned3.0
ADE80.6
Tackles
Ned6.1
ADE60.7
Clearances
Ned1.9
ADE39.3
Inside 50s
Ned2.3
ADE52.4
Contested poss.
Ned6.1
ADE138.8
Goals
Ned0.3
ADE11.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ADE concede · Clearances

39.3per game · league avg 35.7
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Clearances

At Adelaide Oval5.8(4)+3.6
Everywhere else2.1(44)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Clearances

Wet games (≥1mm)3.0(6)+0.6
Dry games2.4(42)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.