AFL
PProjectPunt
Ned Long
Ned Long
Collingwood · @ ADE
6.5 TKO U
Hit rate
44% (7/16)
enter odds to compare
Avg
6.1
L5
6.4
L10
5.8
High
10
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
9STKMar 088ADEMar 1410GWSMar 273BRIApr 025FREApr 105CARApr 169HAWApr 305GEEMay 097SYDMay 154WCEMay 231WBDMay 304PORJun 208RICJun 278GCSJul 046NORJul 106CARJul 18?ADEJul 236.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ ADE
Game conditionsAdelaide Oval · AdelaideRound 20 · 2026-07-23 19:309.9°C0mm (0%)🌬 9.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Ned16.2
ADE356.6
Kicks
Ned6.4
ADE210.2
Marks
Ned3.0
ADE80.6
Tackles
Ned6.1
ADE60.7
Clearances
Ned1.9
ADE39.3
Inside 50s
Ned2.3
ADE52.4
Contested poss.
Ned6.1
ADE138.8
Goals
Ned0.3
ADE11.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ADE concede · Tackles

60.7per game · league avg 56.9
#6 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackles

At Adelaide Oval6.0(4)-0.5
Everywhere else6.5(44)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)4.5(6)-2.3
Dry games6.8(42)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.