P
Current to Round 20, 2 days ago
Toby Murray
Toby Murray
Adelaide · @ ESS
0.5 GLO —U —
Hit rate
55% (6/11)
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Avg
0.7
L5
0.6
L10
0.8
High
2
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0COLMar 140BRIApr 262PORMay 011RICMay 102NORMay 16☂0HAWMay 210GEEJun 041WBDJun 111WCEJul 030GCSJul 111SYDJul 17?ESSAug 020.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS

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Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Toby6.7
ESS398.8
Kicks
Toby4.9
ESS232.6
Marks
Toby2.8
ESS116.9
Tackles
Toby2.4
ESS50.5
Clearances
Toby0.8
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Toby1.2
ESS55.1
Contested Poss.
Toby3.5
ESS121.4
Goals
Toby0.7
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Goals

15.0per game · league avg 12.7
#2 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Goals

At Docklands1.0(1)+0.3
Everywhere else0.7(10)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Goals

Wet games (≥1mm)2.0(1)+1.4
Dry games0.6(10)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.