AFL
PProjectPunt
Toby Murray
Toby Murray
Adelaide · vs COL
4.5 KIO U
Hit rate
55% (6/11)
enter odds to compare
Avg
4.9
L5
3.8
L10
5.3
High
9
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1COLMar 149BRIApr 269PORMay 017RICMay 109NORMay 160HAWMay 215GEEJun 044WBDJun 115WCEJul 032GCSJul 113SYDJul 17?COLJul 234.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs COL
Game conditionsAdelaide Oval · AdelaideRound 20 · 2026-07-23 19:309.9°C0mm (0%)🌬 9.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Toby6.7
COL389.3
Kicks
Toby4.9
COL227.3
Marks
Toby2.8
COL105.6
Tackles
Toby2.4
COL48.4
Clearances
Toby0.8
COL35.6
Inside 50s
Toby1.2
COL55.2
Contested poss.
Toby3.5
COL128.0
Goals
Toby0.7
COL11.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

COL concede · Kicks

227.3per game · league avg 213.8
#3 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Kicks

At Adelaide Oval6.3(4)+2.1
Everywhere else4.1(7)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)9.0(1)+4.5
Dry games4.5(10)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.