P
Current to Round 20, 2 days ago
Toby Murray
Toby Murray
Adelaide · @ ESS
4.5 KIO U
Hit rate
55% (6/11)
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Avg
4.9
L5
3.8
L10
5.3
High
9
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1COLMar 149BRIApr 269PORMay 017RICMay 109NORMay 160HAWMay 215GEEJun 044WBDJun 115WCEJul 032GCSJul 113SYDJul 17?ESSAug 024.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS

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Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Toby6.7
ESS398.8
Kicks
Toby4.9
ESS232.6
Marks
Toby2.8
ESS116.9
Tackles
Toby2.4
ESS50.5
Clearances
Toby0.8
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Toby1.2
ESS55.1
Contested Poss.
Toby3.5
ESS121.4
Goals
Toby0.7
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Kicks

232.6per game · league avg 213.8
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Kicks

At Docklands4.0(1)-1.0
Everywhere else5.0(10)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)9.0(1)+4.5
Dry games4.5(10)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.