Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

CBY

Matthew Dufty

Canterbury Bulldogs · @ BRI

3.5 TBO —U —

Hit rate

45% (5/11)

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Avg

3.1

2.2

L10

2.9

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.3°C☂ 0mm (4%)🌬 8.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Matthewvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

180.6Run Metres1842.7

3.1Tackle Breaks31.7

1.8Tackles323.2

0.2Tries4.3

0.5Try Assists3.2

0.6Line Breaks4.7

0.1Offloads10.1

59.1Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Matthew180.6

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Matthew3.1

BRI31.7

Tackles

Matthew1.8

BRI323.2

Tries

Matthew0.2

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Matthew0.5

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Matthew0.6

BRI4.7

Offloads

Matthew0.1

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Matthew59.1

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Tackle Breaks

31.7per game · league avg 32.6

#11 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At Suncorp Stadium2.0(5)-1.3

Everywhere else3.3(35)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)1.5(4)-1.8

Dry games3.3(36)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.