Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

CBY

Matthew Dufty

Canterbury Bulldogs · @ WST

0.5 TO —U —

Hit rate

18% (2/11)

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Avg

0.2

0.0

L10

0.1

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ WST

Game conditionsCommBank Stadium · SydneyRound 22 · 2026-08-02 16:05☁ 17.9°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 7.7 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Matthewvs all playersStatWST concedePer game

180.6Run Metres1749.4

3.1Tackle Breaks33.3

1.8Tackles339.1

0.2Tries5.3

0.5Try Assists4.6

0.6Line Breaks6.6

0.1Offloads9.1

59.1Post Contact Metres528.1

Run Metres

Matthew180.6

WST1749.4

Tackle Breaks

Matthew3.1

WST33.3

Tackles

Matthew1.8

WST339.1

Tries

Matthew0.2

WST5.3

Try Assists

Matthew0.5

WST4.6

Line Breaks

Matthew0.6

WST6.6

Offloads

Matthew0.1

WST9.1

Post Contact Metres

Matthew59.1

WST528.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WST concede · Tries

5.3per game · league avg 4.1

#1 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tries

At CommBank Stadium0.7(3)+0.4

Everywhere else0.3(37)

Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tries

Wet games (≥1mm)0.5(4)+0.2

Dry games0.3(36)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.