Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Beau McCreery

Collingwood · vs GEE

4.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

41% (7/17)

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Avg

4.4

3.4

L10

4.5

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs GEE

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Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-07-30 19:30☁ 9°C☂ 0.2mm (1%)🌬 5.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Beauvs all playersStatGEE concedePer game

13.6Disposals377.4

7.0Kicks213.3

2.1Marks82.7

4.4Tackles64.5

1.5Clearances38.8

3.2Inside 50s51.0

5.2Contested Poss.133.8

0.5Goals12.2

Disposals

Beau13.6

GEE377.4

Kicks

Beau7.0

GEE213.3

Marks

Beau2.1

GEE82.7

Tackles

Beau4.4

GEE64.5

Clearances

Beau1.5

GEE38.8

Inside 50s

Beau3.2

GEE51.0

Contested Poss.

Beau5.2

GEE133.8

Goals

Beau0.5

GEE12.2

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

GEE concede · Tackles

64.5per game · league avg 56.9

#2 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackles

At M.C.G.4.3(66)+0.3

Everywhere else4.0(45)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)6.6(9)+2.6

Dry games4.0(102)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.