AFL
PProjectPunt
Sam Draper
Sam Draper
Brisbane Lions · vs POR
1.5 FFO U
Hit rate
53% (9/17)
enter odds to compare
Avg
1.5
L5
1.2
L10
1.7
High
3
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
2SYDMar 141STKMar 282COLApr 022NORApr 110MELApr 191ADEApr 260ESSMay 022CARMay 083GEEMay 142GWSMay 243FREMay 301GCSJun 062RICJun 143SYDJun 250GEEJul 021ESSJul 120WCEJul 18?PORJul 261.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs POR
Game conditionsGabba · BrisbaneRound 20 · 2026-07-26 13:1019.2°C0mm (0%)🌬 2.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Sam10.4
POR361.6
Kicks
Sam8.2
POR207.9
Marks
Sam2.4
POR92.1
Tackles
Sam0.8
POR59.0
Clearances
Sam3.8
POR32.3
Inside 50s
Sam2.6
POR49.4
Contested poss.
Sam6.7
POR127.2
Goals
Sam0.6
POR11.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

POR concede · Frees For

19.9per game · league avg 19.0
#7 of 18 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Frees For

At Gabba2.1(7)+1.1
Everywhere else1.0(10)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)(0)
Dry games1.5(17)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.