AFL
PProjectPunt
Sam Draper
Sam Draper
Brisbane Lions · vs POR
0.5 GLO U
Hit rate
53% (9/17)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.6
L5
0.6
L10
0.7
High
2
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0SYDMar 140STKMar 280COLApr 022NORApr 111MELApr 191ADEApr 260ESSMay 021CARMay 081GEEMay 140GWSMay 241FREMay 301GCSJun 060RICJun 141SYDJun 250GEEJul 022ESSJul 120WCEJul 18?PORJul 260.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs POR
Game conditionsGabba · BrisbaneRound 20 · 2026-07-26 13:1019.2°C0mm (0%)🌬 2.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Sam10.4
POR361.6
Kicks
Sam8.2
POR207.9
Marks
Sam2.4
POR92.1
Tackles
Sam0.8
POR59.0
Clearances
Sam3.8
POR32.3
Inside 50s
Sam2.6
POR49.4
Contested poss.
Sam6.7
POR127.2
Goals
Sam0.6
POR11.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

POR concede · Goals

11.7per game · league avg 12.7
#14 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Goals

At Gabba1.0(7)+0.6
Everywhere else0.4(10)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Goals

Wet games (≥1mm)(0)
Dry games0.6(17)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.