AFL
PProjectPunt
Sam Draper
Sam Draper
Brisbane Lions · vs POR
21.5 HOO U
Hit rate
65% (11/17)
enter odds to compare
Avg
21.4
L5
24.8
L10
24.9
High
34
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
8SYDMar 149STKMar 2812COLApr 0220NORApr 1123MELApr 1921ADEApr 2622ESSMay 0234CARMay 0824GEEMay 1427GWSMay 2424FREMay 3016GCSJun 0626RICJun 1424SYDJun 2529GEEJul 0223ESSJul 1222WCEJul 18?PORJul 2621.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs POR
Game conditionsGabba · BrisbaneRound 20 · 2026-07-26 13:1019.2°C0mm (0%)🌬 2.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Sam10.4
POR361.6
Kicks
Sam8.2
POR207.9
Marks
Sam2.4
POR92.1
Tackles
Sam0.8
POR59.0
Clearances
Sam3.8
POR32.3
Inside 50s
Sam2.6
POR49.4
Contested poss.
Sam6.7
POR127.2
Goals
Sam0.6
POR11.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

POR concede · Hitouts

30.4per game · league avg 35.2
#15 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Hitouts

At Gabba23.1(7)+2.9
Everywhere else20.2(10)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Hitouts

Wet games (≥1mm)(0)
Dry games21.4(17)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.