AFL
PProjectPunt
Daniel McStay
Daniel McStay
Collingwood · @ ADE
0.5 CLO U
Hit rate
56% (10/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.7
L5
0.8
L10
1.0
High
2
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1STKMar 081ADEMar 140GWSMar 271BRIApr 020FREApr 100CARApr 160ESSApr 250HAWApr 300GEEMay 092SYDMay 151WCEMay 231WBDMay 302MELJun 080PORJun 201RICJun 272GCSJul 041NORJul 100CARJul 18?ADEJul 230.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ ADE
Game conditionsAdelaide Oval · AdelaideRound 20 · 2026-07-23 19:309.9°C0mm (0%)🌬 9.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Daniel9.0
ADE356.6
Kicks
Daniel5.3
ADE210.2
Marks
Daniel4.2
ADE80.6
Tackles
Daniel2.6
ADE60.7
Clearances
Daniel0.7
ADE39.3
Inside 50s
Daniel1.9
ADE52.4
Contested poss.
Daniel4.5
ADE138.8
Goals
Daniel1.7
ADE11.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ADE concede · Clearances

39.3per game · league avg 35.7
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Clearances

At Adelaide Oval0.3(3)-0.6
Everywhere else0.9(38)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Clearances

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(6)+0.2
Dry games0.8(35)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.