AFL
PProjectPunt
Daniel McStay
Daniel McStay
Collingwood · @ ADE
3.5 HBO U
Hit rate
50% (9/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
3.7
L5
4.8
L10
4.3
High
8
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
4STKMar 083ADEMar 143GWSMar 271BRIApr 023FREApr 102CARApr 164ESSApr 254HAWApr 300GEEMay 096SYDMay 152WCEMay 235WBDMay 306MELJun 083PORJun 205RICJun 275GCSJul 048NORJul 103CARJul 18?ADEJul 233.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ ADE
Game conditionsAdelaide Oval · AdelaideRound 20 · 2026-07-23 19:309.9°C0mm (0%)🌬 9.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Daniel9.0
ADE356.6
Kicks
Daniel5.3
ADE210.2
Marks
Daniel4.2
ADE80.6
Tackles
Daniel2.6
ADE60.7
Clearances
Daniel0.7
ADE39.3
Inside 50s
Daniel1.9
ADE52.4
Contested poss.
Daniel4.5
ADE138.8
Goals
Daniel1.7
ADE11.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ADE concede · Handballs

146.3per game · league avg 155.5
#16 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Handballs

At Adelaide Oval3.0(3)-0.7
Everywhere else3.7(38)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)2.5(6)-1.4
Dry games3.9(35)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.