AFL
PProjectPunt
Daniel McStay
Daniel McStay
Collingwood · @ ADE
2.5 TKO U
Hit rate
44% (8/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
2.6
L5
3.4
L10
3.3
High
6
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
2STKMar 082ADEMar 142GWSMar 271BRIApr 026FREApr 100CARApr 160ESSApr 251HAWApr 300GEEMay 096SYDMay 152WCEMay 233WBDMay 305MELJun 084PORJun 202RICJun 273GCSJul 045NORJul 103CARJul 18?ADEJul 232.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ ADE
Game conditionsAdelaide Oval · AdelaideRound 20 · 2026-07-23 19:309.9°C0mm (0%)🌬 9.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Daniel9.0
ADE356.6
Kicks
Daniel5.3
ADE210.2
Marks
Daniel4.2
ADE80.6
Tackles
Daniel2.6
ADE60.7
Clearances
Daniel0.7
ADE39.3
Inside 50s
Daniel1.9
ADE52.4
Contested poss.
Daniel4.5
ADE138.8
Goals
Daniel1.7
ADE11.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ADE concede · Tackles

60.7per game · league avg 56.9
#6 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackles

At Adelaide Oval3.7(3)+1.4
Everywhere else2.2(38)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)2.7(6)+0.4
Dry games2.3(35)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.