AFL
PProjectPunt
ESS
Nick Bryan
Essendon · @ HAW
1.5 MKO U
Hit rate
70% (7/10)
enter odds to compare
Avg
1.7
L5
1.8
L10
1.7
High
3
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
2GWSMay 092FREMay 172RICMay 220WCEMay 312CARJun 071MELJun 132NORJun 283STKJul 050BRIJul 123GWSJul 19?HAWJul 251.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ HAW
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (35%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Nick10.6
HAW355.0
Kicks
Nick5.2
HAW205.1
Marks
Nick1.7
HAW81.7
Tackles
Nick2.2
HAW60.8
Clearances
Nick2.7
HAW34.2
Inside 50s
Nick1.5
HAW51.3
Contested poss.
Nick5.7
HAW127.8
Goals
Nick0.2
HAW12.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

HAW concede · Marks

81.7per game · league avg 93.0
#15 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Marks

At M.C.G.2.1(7)+0.5
Everywhere else1.7(12)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(2)-0.9
Dry games1.9(17)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.