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GEERound 22Sat 08-08 · 16:35ESS
Bailey SmithBailey SmithCL5.5James WorpelJames WorpelCL5.5Max HolmesMax HolmesCL4.5Tom AtkinsTom AtkinsCL3.5GSGeorge StevensCL3.5Rhys StanleyRhys StanleyCL3.5MEMitchell EdwardsCL2.5OMOisin MullinCL2.5Shaun MannaghShaun MannaghCL2.5SKSam De KoningCL1.5Mark BlicavsMark BlicavsCL1.5Patrick DangerfieldPatrick DangerfieldCL1.5
Darcy ParishDarcy ParishCL5.5Elijah TsatasElijah TsatasCL4.5Sam DurhamSam DurhamCL4.5SRSullivan RobeyCL3.5Jye CaldwellJye CaldwellCL

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

Bailey SmithBailey Smith5.5James WorpelJames Worpel5.5Max HolmesMax Holmes4.5Tom AtkinsTom Atkins3.5GSGeorge Stevens3.5Rhys StanleyRhys Stanley3.5ME
3.5
Will SetterfieldWill SetterfieldCL3.5
Zach MerrettZach MerrettCL3.5
NBNick BryanCL2.5
DSDyson SharpCL2.5
LBLachlan BlakistonCL1.5
Peter WrightPeter WrightCL1.5
Archie RobertsArchie RobertsCL1.5
Mitchell Edwards
2.5
OMOisin Mullin2.5
Shaun MannaghShaun Mannagh2.5
SKSam De Koning1.5
Mark BlicavsMark Blicavs1.5
Patrick DangerfieldPatrick Dangerfield1.5
Darcy ParishDarcy Parish5.5
Elijah TsatasElijah Tsatas4.5
Sam DurhamSam Durham4.5
SRSullivan Robey3.5
Jye CaldwellJye Caldwell3.5
Will SetterfieldWill Setterfield3.5
Zach MerrettZach Merrett3.5
NBNick Bryan2.5
DSDyson Sharp2.5
LBLachlan Blakiston1.5
Peter WrightPeter Wright1.5
Archie RobertsArchie Roberts1.5
DisposalsKicksMarksHandballsGoalsTacklesHitoutsClearancesGoal AssistsMarks Inside 50
Current to Round 21, yesterday
JP
Jay Polkinghorne
Geelong · vs ESS
0.5 CLO —U —
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.0
L5
0.0
L10
0.0
High
0

Only 2 games in this filter — thin evidence, treat with care.

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0STKJul 160MELJul 24?ESSAug 080.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

Game conditionsKardinia Park · GeelongRound 22 · 2026-08-08 16:35☁ 12.5°C☂ 1mm (41%)🌬 19.2 km/hWet ball risk

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Jayvs all playersStatESS concedePer game
11.0
22
Disposalsneutral
100
402.2
Jay 11.0/game
ESS concedes 402.2/game · league avg 369.6
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
9.0
56
Kicksneutral
100
234.0
Jay 9.0/game
ESS concedes 234.0/game · league avg 213.9
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
7.0
98
Marksfavorable
100
118.6
Jay 7.0/game
ESS concedes 118.6/game · league avg 93.5
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
0.5
1
Tacklesunfavorable
12
50.3
Jay 0.5/game
ESS concedes 50.3/game · league avg 56.5
#16 of 18 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Clearancesunfavorable
18
33.6
Jay 0.0/game
ESS concedes 33.6/game · league avg 35.7
#15 of 18 clubs most conceded
3.5
86
Inside 50sfavorable
88
55.8
Jay 3.5/game
ESS concedes 55.8/game · league avg 52.9
#3 of 18 clubs most conceded
1.0
0
Contested Poss.unfavorable
6
121.8
Jay 1.0/game
ESS concedes 121.8/game · league avg 128.8
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
2.0
97
Goalsfavorable
94
15.2
Jay 2.0/game
ESS concedes 15.2/game · league avg 12.8
#2 of 18 clubs most conceded
Disposalsneutral
Jay11.0
22
ESS402.2
100
Jay 11.0/game
ESS concedes 402.2/game · league avg 369.6
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
Kicksneutral
Jay9.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Clearances

33.6per game · league avg 35.7
#15 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Clearances

At Kardinia Park0.0(1)
Everywhere else0.0(1)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Clearances

Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)
Dry games0.0(2)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.

Similar players vs ESS · Clearances

Avg diff
-0.2
Avg diff %
-17%
Hit rate
0/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-25HAWOllie Greeves1.31-25%
07-25HAWDylan Moore1.31-20%
07-25HAWHarry Morrison1.41-30%
07-25HAWJames Sicily1.21-14%
07-19GWSCallum Brown1.21-17%
07-19GWSConor Stone1.010%
07-12BRINoah Answerth1.010%
07-12BRIBruce Reville1.51-33%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Jay's. Computed from this app's own records.
56
ESS234.0
100
Jay 9.0/game
ESS concedes 234.0/game · league avg 213.9
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
Marksfavorable
Jay7.0
98
ESS118.6
100
Jay 7.0/game
ESS concedes 118.6/game · league avg 93.5
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
Tacklesunfavorable
Jay0.5
1
ESS50.3
12
Jay 0.5/game
ESS concedes 50.3/game · league avg 56.5
#16 of 18 clubs most conceded
Clearancesunfavorable
Jay0.0
0
ESS33.6
18
Jay 0.0/game
ESS concedes 33.6/game · league avg 35.7
#15 of 18 clubs most conceded
Inside 50sfavorable
Jay3.5
86
ESS55.8
88
Jay 3.5/game
ESS concedes 55.8/game · league avg 52.9
#3 of 18 clubs most conceded
Contested Poss.unfavorable
Jay1.0
0
ESS121.8
6
Jay 1.0/game
ESS concedes 121.8/game · league avg 128.8
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
Goalsfavorable
Jay2.0
97
ESS15.2
94
Jay 2.0/game
ESS concedes 15.2/game · league avg 12.8
#2 of 18 clubs most conceded