Only 2 games in this filter — thin evidence, treat with care.
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Game conditionsKardinia Park · GeelongRound 22 · 2026-08-08 16:35☁ 11.2°C☂ 0.6mm (41%)🌬 20.8 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Jayvs all playersStatESS concedePer game
11.0
22
Disposalsneutral
100
402.2
Jay 11.0/game
ESS concedes 402.2/game · league avg 369.6
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
9.0
56
Kicksneutral
100
234.0
Jay 9.0/game
ESS concedes 234.0/game · league avg 213.9
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
7.0
98
Marksfavorable
100
118.6
Jay 7.0/game
ESS concedes 118.6/game · league avg 93.5
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
0.5
1
Tacklesunfavorable
12
50.3
Jay 0.5/game
ESS concedes 50.3/game · league avg 56.5
#16 of 18 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Clearancesunfavorable
18
33.6
Jay 0.0/game
ESS concedes 33.6/game · league avg 35.7
#15 of 18 clubs most conceded
3.5
86
Inside 50sfavorable
88
55.8
Jay 3.5/game
ESS concedes 55.8/game · league avg 52.9
#3 of 18 clubs most conceded
1.0
0
Contested Poss.unfavorable
6
121.8
Jay 1.0/game
ESS concedes 121.8/game · league avg 128.8
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
2.0
97
Goalsfavorable
94
15.2
Jay 2.0/game
ESS concedes 15.2/game · league avg 12.8
#2 of 18 clubs most conceded
Disposalsneutral
Jay11.0
22
ESS402.2
100
Jay 11.0/game
ESS concedes 402.2/game · league avg 369.6
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
Kicksneutral
Jay9.0
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
ESS concede · Marks
118.6per game · league avg 93.5
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Marks
At Kardinia Park8.0(1)+2.0
Everywhere else6.0(1)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Marks
Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)
Dry games7.0(2)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs ESS · Marks
Avg diff
+2.3
Avg diff %
+36%
Hit rate
7/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-25HAWOllie Greeves5.78+41%
07-25HAWJames Sicily7.410+34%
07-25HAWJack Ginnivan5.88+37%
07-25HAWBlake Hardwick6.28+29%
07-25HAWJack Gunston6.211+79%
07-25HAWJarman Impey7.512+61%
07-25HAWJosh Battle6.85-26%
07-19GWSHarry Himmelberg5.98+36%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Jay's. Computed from this app's own records.