Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Sam Durham

Essendon · vs ADE

11.5 HBO —U —

Hit rate

59% (10/17)

enter odds to compare

Avg

11.0

12.6

L10

12.4

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 21 vs ADE

Enter odds and a stake to track this bet. You'll settle it by hand on the bets page — nothing grades itself.

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Samvs all playersStatADE concedePer game

20.6Disposals356.6

9.6Kicks210.2

3.5Marks80.6

3.7Tackles60.7

4.3Clearances39.3

4.2Inside 50s52.4

9.1Contested Poss.138.8

0.5Goals11.1

Disposals

Sam20.6

ADE356.6

Kicks

Sam9.6

ADE210.2

Marks

Sam3.5

ADE80.6

Tackles

Sam3.7

ADE60.7

Clearances

Sam4.3

ADE39.3

Inside 50s

Sam4.2

ADE52.4

Contested Poss.

Sam9.1

ADE138.8

Goals

Sam0.5

ADE11.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ADE concede · Handballs

146.3per game · league avg 155.5

#16 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Handballs

At Docklands10.8(40)+1.6

Everywhere else9.2(68)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)11.9(10)+2.3

Dry games9.6(98)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.