AFL
PProjectPunt
Sam Durham
Sam Durham
Essendon · @ HAW
3.5 TKO U
Hit rate
59% (10/17)
enter odds to compare
Avg
3.7
L5
3.6
L10
3.7
High
8
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
4HAWMar 137PORMar 221NORMar 286WBDApr 051MELApr 115GCSApr 182COLApr 254BRIMay 026GWSMay 094FREMay 170RICMay 225CARJun 078MELJun 136NORJun 281STKJul 051BRIJul 122GWSJul 19?HAWJul 253.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ HAW
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Sam20.6
HAW355.0
Kicks
Sam9.6
HAW205.1
Marks
Sam3.5
HAW81.7
Tackles
Sam3.7
HAW60.8
Clearances
Sam4.3
HAW34.2
Inside 50s
Sam4.2
HAW51.3
Contested poss.
Sam9.1
HAW127.8
Goals
Sam0.5
HAW12.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

HAW concede · Tackles

60.8per game · league avg 56.9
#5 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackles

At M.C.G.4.2(20)+0.1
Everywhere else4.1(39)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)3.6(7)-0.6
Dry games4.2(52)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.