AFL
PProjectPunt
Matt Guelfi
Matt Guelfi
Essendon · @ HAW
3.5 HBO U
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
enter odds to compare
Avg
3.3
L5
3.3
L10
3.3
High
8

Only 3 games in this filter — thin evidence, treat with care.

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
8NORMar 282WBDApr 050RICMay 22?HAWJul 253.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 @ HAW
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (35%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Matt4.7
HAW355.0
Kicks
Matt1.3
HAW205.1
Marks
Matt0.0
HAW81.7
Tackles
Matt1.3
HAW60.8
Clearances
Matt0.0
HAW34.2
Inside 50s
Matt1.0
HAW51.3
Contested poss.
Matt3.0
HAW127.8
Goals
Matt0.0
HAW12.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

HAW concede · Handballs

149.9per game · league avg 155.5
#15 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Handballs

At M.C.G.5.4(11)+0.3
Everywhere else5.1(17)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)4.2(5)-1.2
Dry games5.4(23)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.