AFL
PProjectPunt
HAW
Matt Hill
Hawthorn · vs ESS
2.5 KIO U
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
enter odds to compare
Avg
2.5
L5
2.5
L10
2.5
High
3

Only 2 games in this filter — thin evidence, treat with care.

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
2MELJul 043CARJul 11?ESSJul 252.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (35%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Matt6.5
ESS398.8
Kicks
Matt2.5
ESS232.6
Marks
Matt0.0
ESS116.9
Tackles
Matt1.0
ESS50.5
Clearances
Matt1.0
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Matt2.0
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Matt3.5
ESS121.4
Goals
Matt1.0
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Kicks

232.6per game · league avg 213.8
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Kicks

At M.C.G.3.0(1)+1.0
Everywhere else2.0(1)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)3.0(1)+1.0
Dry games2.0(1)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.