AFL
PProjectPunt
HAW
Noah Mraz
Hawthorn · vs ESS
14.5 DIO U
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
enter odds to compare
Avg
14.3
L5
14.3
L10
14.3
High
16

Only 3 games in this filter — thin evidence, treat with care.

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
16MELJul 0411CARJul 1116RICJul 19?ESSJul 2514.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Noah14.3
ESS398.8
Kicks
Noah10.3
ESS232.6
Marks
Noah5.3
ESS116.9
Tackles
Noah3.7
ESS50.5
Clearances
Noah0.7
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Noah1.0
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Noah6.3
ESS121.4
Goals
Noah0.3
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Disposals

398.8per game · league avg 369.3
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Disposals

At M.C.G.13.5(2)-2.5
Everywhere else16.0(1)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)11.0(1)-5.0
Dry games16.0(2)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.