AFL
PProjectPunt
HAW
Noah Mraz
Hawthorn · vs ESS
3.5 TKO U
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
enter odds to compare
Avg
3.7
L5
3.7
L10
3.7
High
6

Only 3 games in this filter — thin evidence, treat with care.

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
2MELJul 043CARJul 116RICJul 19?ESSJul 253.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Noah14.3
ESS398.8
Kicks
Noah10.3
ESS232.6
Marks
Noah5.3
ESS116.9
Tackles
Noah3.7
ESS50.5
Clearances
Noah0.7
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Noah1.0
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Noah6.3
ESS121.4
Goals
Noah0.3
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Tackles

50.5per game · league avg 56.9
#16 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At M.C.G.4.5(2)+2.5
Everywhere else2.0(1)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)3.0(1)-1.0
Dry games4.0(2)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.