Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Charlie Spargo

North Melbourne · @ HAW

2.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

29% (4/14)

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Avg

2.0

2.2

L10

2.2

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ HAW

Enter odds and a stake to track this bet. You'll settle it by hand on the bets page — nothing grades itself.

Game conditionsYork Park · LauncestonRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:35☁ 12.9°C☂ 0mm (4%)🌬 13.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Charlievs all playersStatHAW concedePer game

12.3Disposals355.0

6.3Kicks205.1

3.6Marks81.7

2.0Tackles60.8

0.1Clearances34.2

1.9Inside 50s51.3

2.5Contested Poss.127.8

0.7Goals12.3

Disposals

Charlie12.3

HAW355.0

Kicks

Charlie6.3

HAW205.1

Marks

Charlie3.6

HAW81.7

Tackles

Charlie2.0

HAW60.8

Clearances

Charlie0.1

HAW34.2

Inside 50s

Charlie1.9

HAW51.3

Contested Poss.

Charlie2.5

HAW127.8

Goals

Charlie0.7

HAW12.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

HAW concede · Tackles

60.8per game · league avg 56.9

#5 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackles

At York Park—(0)

Everywhere else2.0(14)

Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)4.0(1)+2.2

Dry games1.8(13)

Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.