P
Current to Round 20, 2 days ago
Mark Keane
Mark Keane
Adelaide · @ ESS
4.5 HBO —U —
Hit rate
40% (2/5)
enter odds to compare
Avg
4.4
L5
4.4
L10
4.4
High
6
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
4MELJun 206PORJun 276WCEJul 032GCSJul 114SYDJul 17?ESSAug 024.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS

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Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Mark16.0
ESS398.8
Kicks
Mark11.6
ESS232.6
Marks
Mark4.6
ESS116.9
Tackles
Mark1.4
ESS50.5
Clearances
Mark0.0
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Mark0.8
ESS55.1
Contested Poss.
Mark4.6
ESS121.4
Goals
Mark0.0
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Handballs

166.2per game · league avg 155.5
#2 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At Docklands3.0(4)-0.6
Everywhere else3.6(52)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)3.0(6)-0.7
Dry games3.7(50)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.