AFL
PProjectPunt
Sam Cumming
Sam Cumming
Richmond · @ WBD
2.5 MKO U
Hit rate
58% (7/12)
enter odds to compare
Avg
2.7
L5
3.4
L10
2.8
High
5
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
3MELApr 241WCEMay 021ADEMay 102STKMay 173ESSMay 222SYDMay 303BRIJun 143NORJun 214COLJun 271CARJul 045MELJul 124HAWJul 19?WBDJul 252.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ WBD
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 19:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Sam16.0
WBD388.2
Kicks
Sam6.8
WBD229.6
Marks
Sam2.7
WBD106.7
Tackles
Sam2.6
WBD61.2
Clearances
Sam2.2
WBD35.7
Inside 50s
Sam3.3
WBD54.1
Contested poss.
Sam5.7
WBD132.4
Goals
Sam0.7
WBD12.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WBD concede · Marks

106.7per game · league avg 93.0
#3 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At Docklands2.0(1)-0.7
Everywhere else2.7(11)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)3.5(2)+1.0
Dry games2.5(10)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.