Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Patrick Retschko

Richmond · vs WCE

2.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

54% (7/13)

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Avg

2.2

2.4

L10

1.8

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs WCE

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Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 13:10☁ 15.7°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 22.2 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Patrickvs all playersStatWCE concedePer game

17.8Disposals371.4

10.8Kicks215.1

4.8Marks96.1

2.2Tackles61.7

0.8Clearances38.9

2.5Inside 50s52.9

4.0Contested Poss.133.7

0.1Goals14.7

Disposals

Patrick17.8

WCE371.4

Kicks

Patrick10.8

WCE215.1

Marks

Patrick4.8

WCE96.1

Tackles

Patrick2.2

WCE61.7

Clearances

Patrick0.8

WCE38.9

Inside 50s

Patrick2.5

WCE52.9

Contested Poss.

Patrick4.0

WCE133.7

Goals

Patrick0.1

WCE14.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WCE concede · Tackles

61.7per game · league avg 56.9

#3 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackles

At M.C.G.2.3(8)

Everywhere else2.2(5)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)1.5(2)-0.9

Dry games2.4(11)

Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.