Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Tom De Koning

St Kilda · vs SYD

0.5 GLO —U —

Hit rate

47% (7/15)

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Avg

0.7

1.2

L10

1.1

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs SYD

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Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:05Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Tomvs all playersStatSYD concedePer game

12.7Disposals365.6

6.1Kicks210.9

3.2Marks80.8

1.6Tackles54.6

2.8Clearances38.8

2.3Inside 50s55.2

7.1Contested Poss.139.3

0.7Goals11.6

Disposals

Tom12.7

SYD365.6

Kicks

Tom6.1

SYD210.9

Marks

Tom3.2

SYD80.8

Tackles

Tom1.6

SYD54.6

Clearances

Tom2.8

SYD38.8

Inside 50s

Tom2.3

SYD55.2

Contested Poss.

Tom7.1

SYD139.3

Goals

Tom0.7

SYD11.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

SYD concede · Goals

11.6per game · league avg 12.7

#16 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Goals

At Docklands1.1(7)+0.8

Everywhere else0.4(8)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Goals

Wet games (≥1mm)2.0(1)+1.4

Dry games0.6(14)

Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.