AFL
PProjectPunt
Tom De Koning
Tom De Koning
St Kilda · @ NOR
6.5 HBO U
Hit rate
60% (9/15)
enter odds to compare
Avg
6.6
L5
5.8
L10
5.5
High
11
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
11COLMar 089MELMar 1511GWSMar 217BRIMar 286PORApr 125ADEApr 182WCEApr 265CARMay 027GCSMay 097RICMay 172FREMay 228HAWMay 2810SYDJun 077GWSJun 142WBDJun 21?NORJul 266.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ NOR
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-26 15:15Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Tom12.7
NOR340.7
Kicks
Tom6.1
NOR197.6
Marks
Tom3.2
NOR90.7
Tackles
Tom1.6
NOR54.6
Clearances
Tom2.8
NOR33.9
Inside 50s
Tom2.3
NOR52.3
Contested poss.
Tom7.1
NOR119.2
Goals
Tom0.7
NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Handballs

143.1per game · league avg 155.5
#17 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Handballs

At Docklands5.4(7)-2.2
Everywhere else7.6(8)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)7.0(1)+0.4
Dry games6.6(14)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.