Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Sam Flanders

St Kilda · vs SYD

10.5 HBO —U —

Hit rate

42% (5/12)

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Avg

10.4

8.4

L10

9.5

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs SYD

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Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:05Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Samvs all playersStatSYD concedePer game

23.2Disposals365.6

12.8Kicks210.9

5.6Marks80.8

3.8Tackles54.6

2.2Clearances38.8

3.3Inside 50s55.2

6.2Contested Poss.139.3

0.1Goals11.6

Disposals

Sam23.2

SYD365.6

Kicks

Sam12.8

SYD210.9

Marks

Sam5.6

SYD80.8

Tackles

Sam3.8

SYD54.6

Clearances

Sam2.2

SYD38.8

Inside 50s

Sam3.3

SYD55.2

Contested Poss.

Sam6.2

SYD139.3

Goals

Sam0.1

SYD11.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

SYD concede · Handballs

154.7per game · league avg 155.5

#10 of 18 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Handballs

At Docklands10.0(5)-0.7

Everywhere else10.7(7)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)13.0(1)+2.8

Dry games10.2(11)

Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.