AFL
PProjectPunt
Sam Flanders
Sam Flanders
St Kilda · @ NOR
3.5 TKO U
Hit rate
42% (5/12)
enter odds to compare
Avg
3.8
L5
3.8
L10
4.0
High
7
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
2COLMar 083MELMar 154GWSMar 216BRIMar 287PORApr 122ADEApr 182WCEApr 263CARMay 025GCSMay 093RICMay 177FREMay 221HAWMay 28?NORJul 263.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ NOR
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-26 15:15Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Sam23.2
NOR340.7
Kicks
Sam12.8
NOR197.6
Marks
Sam5.6
NOR90.7
Tackles
Sam3.8
NOR54.6
Clearances
Sam2.2
NOR33.9
Inside 50s
Sam3.3
NOR52.3
Contested poss.
Sam6.2
NOR119.2
Goals
Sam0.1
NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Tackles

54.6per game · league avg 56.9
#13 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At Docklands3.0(5)-1.3
Everywhere else4.3(7)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)3.0(1)-0.8
Dry games3.8(11)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.