P
Current to Round 20, 2 days ago
Ben Keays
Ben Keays
Adelaide · @ ESS
6.5 HBO U
Hit rate
61% (11/18)
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Avg
6.7
L5
7.4
L10
7.1
High
13
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
2COLMar 148WBDMar 208GEEMar 267FREApr 034CARApr 092STKApr 1811BRIApr 268PORMay 016RICMay 108NORMay 163HAWMay 214GEEJun 0413WBDJun 117MELJun 204PORJun 277WCEJul 039GCSJul 1110SYDJul 17?ESSAug 026.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS

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Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Ben15.2
ESS398.8
Kicks
Ben8.4
ESS232.6
Marks
Ben2.8
ESS116.9
Tackles
Ben3.1
ESS50.5
Clearances
Ben0.9
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Ben2.6
ESS55.1
Contested Poss.
Ben5.8
ESS121.4
Goals
Ben1.3
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Handballs

166.2per game · league avg 155.5
#2 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At Docklands11.0(13)+2.4
Everywhere else8.6(136)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)7.6(12)-1.4
Dry games9.0(137)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.