Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Heath Chapman

Fremantle · vs WBD

5.5 MKO —U —

Hit rate

44% (8/18)

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Avg

5.3

3.6

L10

5.3

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs WBD

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Game conditionsPerth Stadium · PerthRound 21 · 2026-07-31 20:10☁ 14.9°C☂ 0.3mm (44%)🌬 4.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Heathvs all playersStatWBD concedePer game

15.6Disposals388.2

9.4Kicks229.6

5.3Marks106.7

2.1Tackles61.2

0.3Clearances35.7

1.7Inside 50s54.1

3.6Contested Poss.132.4

0.1Goals12.6

Disposals

Heath15.6

WBD388.2

Kicks

Heath9.4

WBD229.6

Marks

Heath5.3

WBD106.7

Tackles

Heath2.1

WBD61.2

Clearances

Heath0.3

WBD35.7

Inside 50s

Heath1.7

WBD54.1

Contested Poss.

Heath3.6

WBD132.4

Goals

Heath0.1

WBD12.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WBD concede · Marks

106.7per game · league avg 93.0

#3 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At Perth Stadium5.1(47)-0.4

Everywhere else5.4(36)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)6.2(6)+1.0

Dry games5.2(77)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.